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:: Volume 3, Issue 8 (10-2009) ::
jwmseir 2009, 3(8): 1-10 Back to browse issues page
Evaluation of Performance of Different Methods for Estimating Return Period of Drought Duration Under Time- Independent and Time- Dependent Precipitation Series
Javad Bazrafshan * , Abdol hossein Hoorfar , Ali Khalili , Sedigheh Torabi , Sohrab Hajjam
Abstract:   (13887 Views)

Drought duration is defined from different viewpoints. Estimation methods of drought duration return

period are different in terms of drought duration definition. This paper is aimed to perform six estimation

methods of drought duration return period at Kermanshah station, as a case study. The standardized precipitation

index (SPI) is used to monitor drought based on historical and synthetic series of total precipitation

data in annual and monthly timescales. Probability distribution of drought duration was analyzed for

time series of SPI. Different methods for estimating return period of drought duration on historical and synthetic

time series of SPI were applied. Findings answered two main questions: a) if the length of historical

record was enough to estimate drought return period at the station of interest? b) If the obtained return periods

based on different methods have enough conformity with empirically obtained return period? Results

are discussed in details in this paper.

Keywords: Drought Duration, Return Period, Probability Distribution Function, Time Independence and Time- Dependence Conditions and Kermanshah.
Full-Text [PDF 1396 kb]   (2886 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Research | Subject: Special
Received: 2013/02/4 | Published: 2009/10/15
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Bazrafshan J, Hoorfar A H, Khalili A, Torabi S, Hajjam S. Evaluation of Performance of Different Methods for Estimating Return Period of Drought Duration Under Time- Independent and Time- Dependent Precipitation Series. jwmseir 2009; 3 (8) :1-10
URL: http://jwmsei.ir/article-1-114-en.html


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Volume 3, Issue 8 (10-2009) Back to browse issues page
مجله علوم ومهندسی آبخیزداری ایران Iranian Journal of Watershed Management Science and Engineering
به اطلاع کلیه نویسندگان ، محققین و داوران  محترم  می رساند:

با عنایت به تصمیم  هیئت تحریریه مجله علمی پژوهشی علوم و مهندسی آبخیزداری فرمت تهیه مقاله به شکل پیوست در بخش راهنمای نویسندگان تغییر کرده است. در این راستا، از تاریخ ۱۴۰۳/۰۱/۲۱ کلیه مقالات ارسالی فقط در صورتی که طبق راهنمای نگارش جدید تنظیم شده باشد مورد بررسی قرار خواهد گرفت.
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