:: Volume 3, Issue 8 (10-2009) ::
jwmseir 2009, 3(8): 29-38 Back to browse issues page
Trend Analysis of precipitation Regime in the Gorganroud Basin
Vahed bordi Sheikh * , Akbar Babaei , Yousof Mooshakhian
Abstract:   (15256 Views)

Precipitation is an important climatic factor that reflects particular complexities. The statistical distribution

of total precipitation of a location may vary with time. Due to the arid and semiarid climatic conditions

of Iran, knowledge of the precipitation amount and variation is an important issue. Therefore in this

study the characteristics and trend of precipitation in 7 rain gauging stations in the Golestan province is

investigated during the 31-year period of 1974-2004. The linear regression and Mann-Kendall trend analysis

methods were used. The results indicated that at 5 % level, significant increasing trends have been

observed in the annual precipitation of the Tamar, Tangrah, and Gonbad stations. Increasing trend has been

found in the autumn precipitation in all stations, but it was significant only at the Tamar station at 5% level.

Precipitation in winter and spring did not show a significant and homogenous trend across all stations.

While the summer precipitation shows an increasing and homogenous trend across all stations. However

it is significant at 5% level only for the Gonbad, Tamar, and Cheshmeh khan stations. The maximum daily

precipitation of the Rabat Gharebil and Galikesh stations shows decreasing trend which is significant for

the latter at 5% level. But it shows increasing trend in the other stations from which the Tamar and Tangrah

stations have significant trends at 1% level. In case of number of days with rainfall events, all stations

showed an increasing trend which is significant at 1% level except for the Tamar and Cheshmeh khan stations.

Keywords: Precipitation, Trend Analysis, Linear Regression, Mann- Kendal and Gorganroud.
Full-Text [PDF 705 kb]   (2954 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Research | Subject: Special
Received: 2013/02/4 | Published: 2009/10/15 | ePublished: 2009/10/15


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Volume 3, Issue 8 (10-2009) Back to browse issues page