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:: Volume 13, Issue 44 (3-2019) ::
jwmseir 2019, 13(44): 9-16 Back to browse issues page
Assessment of climatic parameters caused by climate change: A case study Kan Basin
Massoud Goodarzi * , Baharak Motamed Vaziri , Mohamadreza Mir hoseini
Abstract:   (6113 Views)

Water resources restrictions along with uneven distribution of water in different parts of Iran, have caused Iran to be highly vulnerable to climate change impacts. During recent years, IPCC has developed GHG emission scenarios which can be used with AOGCMs to predict climatic status for the future. Herein this research, Hadcm3 was used to simulate climatic parameters for three different periods including 2020s, 2050s and 2080s. Lars-WG weather generator was used as a downscaling tool for 3 different scenarios including A2, A1B and B1. The research was conducted in Kan basin. Base period was 1981-2010. The results show an increase between 0.8-1.3 degrees centigrade for near future. Almost mostly show a decrease in precipitation except for an increase in some months of the winter which is predicted for 2080s. seemingly a decrease in runoff is not beyond the expectations as most scenarios predicted decrease in precipitation.  

Keywords: Climate change, downscaling, Hadcm3, Lars-WG, KAN basin
Full-Text [PDF 758 kb]   (102 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Research | Subject: Special
Received: 2015/04/6 | Accepted: 2016/08/16 | Published: 2019/11/4
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Goodarzi M, Motamed Vaziri B, Mir hoseini M. Assessment of climatic parameters caused by climate change: A case study Kan Basin. jwmseir 2019; 13 (44) :9-16
URL: http://jwmsei.ir/article-1-643-en.html


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Volume 13, Issue 44 (3-2019) Back to browse issues page
مجله علوم ومهندسی آبخیزداری ایران Iranian Journal of Watershed Management Science and Engineering
به اطلاع کلیه نویسندگان ، محققین و داوران  محترم  می رساند:

با عنایت به تصمیم  هیئت تحریریه مجله علمی پژوهشی علوم و مهندسی آبخیزداری فرمت تهیه مقاله به شکل پیوست در بخش راهنمای نویسندگان تغییر کرده است. در این راستا، از تاریخ ۱۴۰۳/۰۱/۲۱ کلیه مقالات ارسالی فقط در صورتی که طبق راهنمای نگارش جدید تنظیم شده باشد مورد بررسی قرار خواهد گرفت.
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