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:: Volume 9, Issue 31 (1-2016) ::
jwmseir 2016, 9(31): 77-88 Back to browse issues page
Suspended sediment prediction using time Series and sediment rating curve (Case study: Ghazaghly station in Gorganroud River)
Fatemeh Barzegaribanadkoki * , Mohsen Armin
Abstract:   (8727 Views)

Accurate estimation of suspended sediment in rivers is very important from different aspects including agriculture, soil conservation, shipping, dam construction and aquatic research. There are different methods for suspended sediment estimation. In the present study to evaluate the ability of time-series models including Markov and ARIMA in predicting suspended sediment and to compare their results to sediment rating curve (SRC) it was tried to use daily suspended data from Ghazaghly station of Gorganroud River, as average monthly values in Minitab 16  software and finally suspended sediment was predicted for 111 months. In the next step, different combinations of all types of SRC and bias correction factors were used in Excel software to evaluate ability of SRC in suspended sediment estimation. Based on the results of this study, monthly SRC without bias correction factor was the most appropriate SRC models. To compare efficiency of different models in estimating suspended sediment, Root Mean Square Errors (RMSE) and Normalized Mean Square Errors (NMSE) were used. Time series model performance measured by RMSE and NMSE was about 71.34 and 2.48 respectively, compared to SRC model with RMSE 220.75 and NMSE 28.62. Results showed a good ability of time series models in estimating average monthly suspended sediment

Keywords: Suspended sediment, Markov, ARIMA, Model.
Full-Text [PDF 698 kb]   (1774 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Research | Subject: Special
Received: 2016/02/20 | Accepted: 2016/02/20 | Published: 2016/02/20
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barzegaribanadkoki F, armin M. Suspended sediment prediction using time Series and sediment rating curve (Case study: Ghazaghly station in Gorganroud River). jwmseir 2016; 9 (31) :77-88
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Volume 9, Issue 31 (1-2016) Back to browse issues page
مجله علوم ومهندسی آبخیزداری ایران Iranian Journal of Watershed Management Science and Engineering
به اطلاع کلیه نویسندگان ، محققین و داوران  محترم  می رساند:

با عنایت به تصمیم  هیئت تحریریه مجله علمی پژوهشی علوم و مهندسی آبخیزداری فرمت تهیه مقاله به شکل پیوست در بخش راهنمای نویسندگان تغییر کرده است. در این راستا، از تاریخ ۱۴۰۳/۰۱/۲۱ کلیه مقالات ارسالی فقط در صورتی که طبق راهنمای نگارش جدید تنظیم شده باشد مورد بررسی قرار خواهد گرفت.
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